http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aUzk1Qc1r2aU
November 7, 2008, 6:32 am Link to This
By Paul Panckhurst and Li Yanping
Nov. 8 (Bloomberg) -- China's economy may expand at the slowest pace in nearly two decades next year as demand for exports slumps in the U.S. and Europe and government spending fails to bridge the gap.
Gross domestic product may advance 7.5 percent or less, the weakest since 1990, according to estimates by Credit Suisse AG, UBS AG and Deutsche Bank AG. Royal Bank of Scotland Plc predicts the economy will grow 8 percent next year, while 5 percent ``can't be ruled out.''
China hasn't yet ramped up spending on railways, roads, and low-cost housing by enough to stop a slowing economy from cooling more, economists said. At stake is the contribution to global growth -- 27 percent last year -- that Premier Wen Jiabao says is the nation's way of helping the world through the financial crisis.
``The government's fiscal stimulus plan may not come in time to avert a deeper economic slowdown,'' said Ha Jiming, chief economist at China International Capital Corp in Beijing. Growth may be 7.3 percent next year, he said.
Indicators from auto sales to power consumption and export orders are pointing down and a slump in the property market is also threatening growth.
``I'm getting pretty worried,'' said Paul Cavey, an economist at Macquarie Securities Ltd. in Hong Kong. ``It really looks like things are slowing down quite sharply and there's nothing in the works that can turn it around in the next six months or so.''
Influence Beyond Shores
China has averaged 9.9 percent growth for the past 30 years and its expansion underpins demand for the exports of its Asian neighbors and commodities from iron ore to soybeans.
China contributed the most to global growth in 2007, the International Monetary Fund said in a report in April this year. It used purchasing power parity calculations, which account for differences in the exchange rates of national currencies.
Exports may cool to 18.1 percent in October from a year earlier, compared with 21.5 percent in September, according to a survey of 17 economists by Bloomberg News. The report is due next week.
``Exports could suddenly decelerate sharply as the global credit crunch restrains normal business and trade financing,'' said Wang Tao, an economist at UBS. ``Anemic export growth could seriously affect manufacturing investment.''
Unsold Cars
Manufacturing contracted by the most since at least 2004 last month and export orders dropped to their lowest, according to CLSA Asia Pacific Markets. Unsold new vehicles were at a four- year high in September.
``The golden years have shuddered to a dramatic halt,'' said Stephen Green, head of China research at Standard Chartered Bank Plc in Shanghai. Green is reviewing his 7.9 percent forecast for next year because a ``big fiscal policy package'' hasn't arrived.
The government ordered Finance Minister Xie Xuren to return home early this week from an economic conference in Peru to deal with economic problems, an organizer of the event said.
The government is poised to this year announce a switch to a ``proactive'' fiscal policy in 2009 to sustain growth, China Business News reported, citing unidentified government officials. The change may come after an economic planning meeting to be held this month or next.
Though the government has pledged to boost infrastructure spending and Chinese media reported this week that road building may get a boost of 2.9 trillion yuan ($425 billion) over three to five years, nothing concrete has been announced.
China has taken some steps to spur its expansion. It cut interest rates three times since September, eliminated quotas that restrict bank lending and cut export taxes. It's also stalled the yuan's gains against the dollar to keep exports competitive.
That's not enough, said Ma Jun, chief China economist at Deutsche Bank in Hong Kong.
``Without fiscal stimulus, China's GDP growth will likely decelerate to 6 percent next year,'' said Ma. ``The downside risks to economic growth are significantly greater now than just a few months ago.''
To contact the reporter on this story: Paul Panckhurst in Beijing at ppanckhurst@bloomberg.netLi Yanping in Beijing at yli16@bloomberg.net
Last Updated: November 7, 2008 10:23 EST
Saturday, November 8, 2008
China's Economic Growth May Slump as Spending Comes Too Late
Small Investors in Japan Jump In
http://dealbook.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/11/07/small-investors-in-japan-jump-in/
November 7, 2008, 6:32 am Link to This
Topics I.P.O./OfferingsIndustries Financial Services
A global stock rout and fears of worldwide recession have sent millions of professional investors into panicked flight. But in Japan a growing breed of contrarian investors sees opportunity after the Tokyo stock market reached a 26-year low recently, The New York Times’s Martin Fackler reports.
The Asia Trader and Investors Convention drew large crowds on Saturday in Tokyo. Some stopped to listen to Nobuyuki Fujimoto, center, a marketing executive at Kabu.com Securities.
Participants at the event bought finance books and other material as they browsed exhibits and attended seminars held by more than 300 local and international companies.
Since last month, Japan’s legions of household savers have poured into the market by the tens of thousands — many of them first-time investors — seizing the world financial crisis as the greatest buying opportunity in a generation.
Sitting atop $15 trillion in personal savings, they are snapping up equities, currencies and even riskier investments like index futures, to some extent replacing foreign investors and even helping drive a limited rally in Tokyo’s beleaguered exchanges, say stock analysts.
“The stock market rout has popularized stock trading like nothing before,” Yuji Kusunoki, president of Rakuten Securities, told The Times. “It’s a paradox, but all the grim news has actually ended up making the market seem more attractive.”
Individuals have emerged as the most active buyers on the exchange. Japanese individual investors were net buyers of $10 billion worth of stocks on the Tokyo Stock Exchange last month, according to Tokyo-based Daiwa Securities, compared with $2.1 billion in September. Foreign institutional investors were net sellers of some $7 billion in stocks the same month, the brokerage firm said.
And domestic stocks are also replacing foreign bonds and currencies as the investment of choice for Japanese individuals.
Reiko Fujiwara, a 37-year-old suburban homemaker, spent $20,000 of her family’s savings last month to buy shares of a half-dozen big Japanese companies like Nissan. Though long reluctant to play the market, her uncertainty was overwhelmed by her belief that stocks had been drastically oversold.
“I’m usually quite conservative,” Ms. Fujiwara told The Times. “But prices were just so cheap, it looked better than leaving my money in the bank.” She says she has broken even since she started investing in early October.
Since the failure of Lehman Brothers, brokerage firms have reported an unprecedented surge in the numbers of new accounts being opened. At Rakuten Securities, one of Japan’s biggest online brokerage firms, requests for applications to open accounts have nearly quadrupled in two months, to some 33,000 in October.
About half of those applicants are first-time investors, ranging from university students to retirees, but most new investors are white-collar workers in their 30s and 40s. The firm said it has also seen rising applications for currency and index future accounts.
This is not the first time Japan’s amateur investors have emerged as a financial force. A couple of years ago, Japanese homemakers trading currencies online became a powerful investing bloc, named Mrs. Watanabes, who drove down the Japanese yen. Now, small-time Japanese are piling into their home market, going against the global trend. In doing so, they are overcoming traditional inhibitions here against stock trading. A nation of craftsmen and manufacturers, Japan long looked down on finance because its wealth was not fueled by the sweat of the brow.
The change has helped end a large outflow of yen overseas known as the yen-carry trade.
For years, Japanese households poured money into overseas assets, where they could earn better returns than in Japan with its near-zero interest rates. But in October, net investment in domestic stock mutual funds surpassed investment in foreign bond funds for the first time in 27 months, according to Nomura Research Institute, a Tokyo-based consulting company.
Many stock strategists say this influx has at least helped Tokyo’s markets rebound some 26 percent from last month’s lows, though they remain down 41 percent for the year. Interest has been particularly keen in blue chips like Sony, Nissan and Toyota, whose prices have fallen so far that they are often trading at below book value. That means that these companies’ buildings, equipment and other physical assets are worth more than the total of all their shares on the stock market.
Stock analysts said the risks of buying in the teeth of a global recession were huge, and trying to call the bottom as stocks appear likely to face further declines is potentially costly. But they said the long time frame of most small investors, who tend to buy and hold shares for years, meant they may come out ahead eventually.
“They are wading into a treacherous market,” Katsuyasu Murata, deputy general manager of sales planning at Daiwa Securities, told The Times, “but prices have fallen to the point that they make no sense.”
The stock rush points to an unusual quirk of Japan’s stock markets: a growing tendency by individuals to pile in during stock market routs, no matter how dark the outlook may be. Japan had similar, though smaller, buying sprees after the 2000 bursting of the tech bubble and during the global sell-off after the Sept. 11 attacks in the United States.
Stock analysts say this habit comes from Japan’s long-stagnant stock markets, where major indexes have been stuck in a horizontal zigzag since the collapse of the nation’s stock market bubble in the late 1980s.
Indeed, individual investors help keep the market stuck in its doldrums by selling when markets rise.
“Japanese individuals are natural contrarians,” Tsuyoshi Ogata, a spokesman for SBI Securities, a Tokyo-based online brokerage firm, told The Times. “They only come in on the big dips” that come every half decade or so, he said.
Mr. Ogata said applications for new accounts more than tripled in October from the previous by 2,741 a day. About 70 percent of those were beginners, he said.
Interest is so intense that Daiwa even opened a new mutual fund last month, the Reevaluating Japanese Companies Fund, to cater to these investors, Mr. Murata of Daiwa told The Times.
He said the increase began early last month, when the benchmark Nikkei 225 index crossed the psychologically significant 10,000 yen line.
Mrs. Fujiwara, the homemaker, said she had bought a small number of stocks once before — when the Japanese market took a dive seven years ago. She said she sold those shares three years later and quadrupled her investment.
This time, she said, she decided to make a bigger investment after seeing bleak reports of the stock market sell-off on television.
“I’ll hold these share for five or 10 years, if necessary,” she told The Times. Her husband supports her, and is also trading online.
Other individuals are seeing the current downturn as a chance to become day traders, seeking shorter-term profits.
Hiroaki Mukai, a 35-year-old unemployed designer, followed a friend’s advice and last week began trading in Nikkei 225 index futures, a potentially lucrative but risky way to make bets on stock market moves.
Mr. Mukai told The Times he had never traded derivatives before. He said the index’s volatile moves, swinging as much as 10 percent in a day recently, gave him the opportunity to earn as much as $500 a day on his initial investment of $3,000. (He could lose too, of course.)
“Regular office workers have no chance to get rich, and it’s hard to imagine Japan become much wealthier, either,” Mr. Mukai told The Times. “I’m doing this to take care of myself, by myself.”
Go to Article from The New York Times »
India to tell Myanmar to bring about political reform
http://www.outlookindia.com/pti_news.asp?id=630424
NEW DELHI, NOV 7 (PTI)
India is expected to impress upon Myanmar to bring about all-inclusive political reform and accord the "centre stage" to the UN efforts aimed at democratisation when the leader of the military-ruled country visits here next week.
"Our message to Myanmar would be -- we would like the UN to be given the centre-stage (in the process of democratisation).. We want the process of reconciliation to be all inclusive and proceed forward," Secretary (East) in the Ministry of External Affairs N Ravi told reporters here today.
He was responding when asked what message India would convey when Prime Minister Manmohan Singh meets Myanmar's military ruler Gen Than Shwe or Prime Minister Thein Sein, either of whom are expected to visit New Delhi for the BIMSTEC Summit next week.
UN Secretary General Ban Ki Moon last week discussed the Myanmar situation with Singh here and said he was considering a visit to the Yangon.
Ban said New Delhi has been "actively and very constructively" contributing to the democratisation process in Myanmar.
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Myanmar pro-democracy lawyers jailed for four months
http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20081108/wl_asia_afp/myanmarpoliticssuukyi_081108040502
Fri Nov 7, 11:05 pm ET AFP/File – Myanmar's High Court sentenced two lawyers from Aung San Suu Kyi's pro-democracy party to four …
YANGON (AFP) – Myanmar's High Court sentenced two lawyers from Aung San Suu Kyi's pro-democracy party to four months each in prison for contempt of court, a party spokesman told AFP Saturday.
Nyan Win said the jailing of Aung Thein and Khin Maung Shein, who have represented student activists in the courts, was a sign of increased pressure on the party from the ruling junta.
"U Aung Thein and U Khin Maung Shein were sentenced to four months imprisonment each by the High Court yesterday morning. They were taken from their homes last night," Nyan Win told AFP.
"Although they can appeal, U Aung Thein said he will not as he doesn't recognise the sentence," he said.
"We are in a difficult situation now as they (the laywers) often represented political activists. This is strong pressure from the authorities," Nyan Win added.
Aung Thein and Khin Maung Shein made their defence to the High Court in Myanmar's main city Yangon on Thursday after receiving a letter last week that charged they had disrespected the court during an earlier trial of student activists.
The US State Department on Friday condemned Myanmar for charging lawyers defending student activists.
"These actions represent a blatant attempt by the regime to intimidate these lawyers and demonstrate its contempt for the rule of law," State Department deputy spokesman Robert Wood said in statement.
Wood demanded that Myanmar release another lawyer, Nyi Nyi Htwe, sentenced to six months in prison last week for disturbing court procedure, and stop the prosecution of another lawyer, Saw Kyaw Kyaw Min, who also faces possible prison time for contempt of court.
Aung Thein and Khin Maung Shein had represented nine detained student activists whose sentences were extended by six months last week for disturbing court procedure.
The NLD party, led by detained Nobel laureate Aung San Suu Kyi, won a landslide victory in 1990 elections but Myanmar's junta never allowed them to take office.
She has spent most of the intervening years under house arrest in the country, which has been ruled by the military since 1962.
Suu Kyi's doctor Tin Myo Win and his assistant visited her in her lakeside prison home on Thursday for a medical checkup, two months after she refused food supplies, sparking concerns for her health.
Myanmar's military leader congratulates Obama
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081108/ap_on_re_as/as_myanmar_us_obama_1
Sat Nov 8, 2:21 am ET AP – President-elect Obama answers a question as his Chief of Staff-designate Rahm Emanuel listens during … YANGON, Myanmar – Myanmar's state-controlled press says the country's military leader has sent congratulations to President-elect Barack Obama.
The Myanma Ahlin daily reported Saturday that Than Shwe, chairman of the Southeast Asian nation's military government, sent a message to Obama following his win in the U.S. election.
The U.S. is one of the strongest critics of a Myanmar regime that routinely jails dissidents and keeps Nobel Peace Prize laureate Aung San Suu Kyi under house arrest. Washington has imposed economic and political sanctions against the junta because it refuses to hand over power to a democratically elected government.
Obama has received congratulations from U.S. friends and enemies around the world, including Iran's president.
The New Silk Road
http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/08_46/b4108046852388.htm?chan=globalbiz_europe+index+page_top+stories
Al-Muhairy's Dubai funds have some $400 million in funds earmarked for India Siddharth Siva/WpN
The New Silk Road
Historic bonds between the Middle East and Asia are being revitalized in a torrent of trade and investment in energy, infrastructure, and manufacturing
By Stanley Reed, Dexter Roberts and Nandini Lakshman
The dusty, 1960s-era building in Delhi's business district is worlds away from the sleek, glass-and-steel towers of Dubai. The elevators, which stop only at even-numbered floors, are packed with sweaty bodies. Shoeshine men ply their trade on the open-air landings. A sign warns: "Spitting in the building premises is strictly prohibited."
Yet you can find a small taste of Dubai tucked away in a modest office on the eighth floor. The cramped quarters are the local arm of Evolvence Capital, a Dubai-based private equity empire that has tentacles reaching deep into the Indian hinterland. From the simple office in Delhi, Evolvence funds businesses such as the top construction company in tropical Chennai, a high-tech pharmaceutical plant in the rocky countryside near Hyderabad, and a private cancer-treatment center run by U.S.-trained doctors in Bangalore.
Evolvence is the brainchild of Khaled Al-Muhairy, a 36-year-old native of Abu Dhabi. Eight years ago, Al-Muhairy left his post as a fund manager at the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority and set up his own asset management firm, Evolvence. In 2003, Al-Muhairy started scouting for stakes in India, figuring that the country's economy was at last ready to take off. Although he was sufficiently wary of the Indian environment to avoid raw vegetables and tap water, he liked what he found. Today he has private equity funds worth some $400 million focused on India. "You can see in the eyes of the people that they want to succeed," Al-Muhairy says over a lunch of grilled meats and salads in the garden of a Lebanese restaurant in Dubai.
TRADE FLOWS BOTH WAYS
The Arab world and Asia have a legacy of trade ties dating back to caravans that transported textiles and spices across the desert on the so-called Silk Road and to Gulf traders that sailed the blue waters of the Indian Ocean in chunky ships known as dhows. Today a new Silk Road leads from the busy ports of Shanghai, Hong Kong, and Singapore to the Persian Gulf—and from sparkling airport lounges in Dubai and Riyadh back to Asia's bustling cities. The merchants on this new route are Arab investors looking for smart places to park their petrodollars and Asians seeking to lock up energy supplies and find markets for the goods churned out by their factories.
Trade between the two regions has been expanding at a 30% annual clip. Since 2006, Asia has been the largest trading partner of the Gulf Cooperation Council, a group of six wealthy Arab countries, according to data compiled by Standard Chartered Bank. As of last year, Asia accounted for 55% of the GCC's total trade of $758 billion, the bank says. The mainstay of Gulf exports to Asia is oil, but some energy-intensive manufactured goods such as aluminum are also joining the mix. In return, China and Japan send to the Gulf products ranging from cars to computers while India and other Asian countries supply much of the food consumed in the Middle East. And while the scale of investment lags the trading ties, investors from the Gulf are buying stakes in everything from Asian banks and department stores to hotels and office buildings. Standard Chartered estimates that the Gulf countries invested $60 billion in Asia from 2002 to 2006.
It's easy to find evidence of the growing links. Delhi newspapers advertise homes built by Emaar Properties, a Dubai developer. Smaller companies from Algeria, Egypt, Morocco, and elsewhere have factories in China to make shoes, toys, and the like. And so many Middle Eastern traders visit the wholesale markets in the southern Chinese town of Yiwu that road signs are posted in Arabic as well as Chinese and English. "Power is moving from West to East," Al-Muhairy says. "It is a huge opportunity."
The Asians are getting a foothold in the Middle East, too. China has plowed billions of dollars into North Africa's oil sector, especially in Sudan and Algeria. Along with the energy investment comes work for Chinese companies building roads, pipelines, and other infrastructure. Goods from Chinese appliance manufacturer Haier and electronics maker TCL are available across the Middle East. Indian engineering outfits Larsen & Toubro, Voltas, and others help out on real estate and industrial projects in the Arab world. And Malaysian developer MMC is working on a vast new city in Saudi Arabia. "We are seeing serious investment flows from Asia to the Middle East," says Rachid Mohamed Rachid, Egypt's trade & industry minister.
Why the change? For several years booming Asia has looked more promising than the U.S. or Europe. And the backlash against Middle Easterners in the U.S. following the September 11 attacks has encouraged the region's businessmen to look for other places to put their money. Many Arabs who might once have gone to the U.S. or Europe for education, medical care, or vacation are instead choosing Asia—and taking their business interests with them. "All the traditional and fundamental links [with the West] are being replicated and taken over by Asia," says Rachid.
FORTUNES BUILT ON GOLD AND PEARLS
The global credit crunch will doubtless affect the trend. Stock markets across both regions have plummeted, slashing the value of investments. With oil prices down, Arab countries will have less money to invest; governments may use their cash to prop up domestic economies and possibly bail out banks and developers. But the West is suffering, too, so there's little reason to believe the economic integration of the Middle East and Asia won't continue.
While talk of the original Silk Road suggests distant history, ties between the two regions remained vibrant until the mid-20th century. Many Gulf Arabs sent their children to learn English in the subcontinent's schools, which they considered superior to those available in at home. Kuwaiti captains traded pearls from their domestic waters to Indian merchants for rice, teak, and steel. And many of them also stashed contraband gold—subject to high duties in India—in the cargo. "Gold smuggling formed the basis of the fortunes of many Kuwaiti families," says Nadira Sultan, a member of a Kuwaiti merchant clan with a long history on the subcontinent.
Those links led to thriving communities of Gulf Arabs in India. Sultan family lore tells of an ancestor who was ruined after his ship foundered on a reef off Mumbai. Sultan's father later built his career in India, where Sultan spent her childhood in the 1950s. She recalls sleepless nights in the Indian resort of Khandala, "not daring to breathe because of the tiger growling outside our bedroom window," and being enchanted by snake charmers and dancing monkeys on Mumbai's streets.
A few years later, though, the subcontinent began to lose its charm for many Arabs. India started throwing gold smugglers in jail just as the Gulf's oil industry took off, creating good jobs closer to home. Nadira's brother, Nader, for instance, eventually became CEO of state-owned Kuwait Petroleum. The oil boom led to closer ties with the U.S. and Europe, and most Arabs forgot about India, China, and the rest of Asia, preferring to invest in the West.
Nadira Sultan's cousin Tarek is among the latter-day trade sheikhs working the new Silk Road. He is CEO of Agility, a Kuwaiti logistics and warehousing outfit with $6.2 billion in annual revenues. Agility has made a bundle supplying the U.S. military in Iraq. Now it's plowing nearly $2 billion into millions of feet of warehouse space and other trade infrastructure in Asia, building up a network of 70 offices and 20,000 employees in China and India. Agility even deployed a dozen trucks and 100 workers to handle dirty laundry for athletes at this summer's Beijing Olympics. "Everybody knows about China and the U.S.," says the 44-year-old Sultan. "We are making investments in the trade that takes place within Asia."
FINANCIAL FIREPOWER
On the ground in the Gulf, connections with Asia are visible everywhere. Asian laborers are the muscle that builds skyscrapers, airports, and petrochemical plants. Asians also provide much of the brains and managerial talent at businesses ranging from investment banks to retailers, and people whose parents or grandparents originally came from the Indian subcontinent form the backbone of the middle class in Dubai and Abu Dhabi. The souks along the Creek, the salt inlet that was Dubai's original harbor, are dotted with hole-in-the-wall Hindu temples, and it's rare to spot anyone in Arab dress among the crowds piling into abras, the rough wooden water taxis that shuttle across the luminous green water.
So far, investment flows haven't kept up with trade ties, but that's likely to change. To date, only about 11% of foreign direct investment from the Gulf has gone to Asia. But by 2020 that could nearly double, to 20%, while the share of Middle Eastern money flowing West will fall to about half the total, from three-quarters today, consultancy McKinsey estimates. Even with lower prices for crude, the Gulf countries will have lots of financial firepower. If oil averages $50 per barrel, McKinsey figures, the Gulf will earn $4.7 trillion through 2020.
Middle Eastern sovereign wealth funds are already pouring money into Asia. The largest—the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority—aims to have 8% to 12% of its estimated $500 billion-plus fund invested in emerging market stocks, with Asia a key destination. Other big investors include Dubai Financial Group and Dubai International Capital, controlled by the emirate's ruler. But a lot of recent investments in Asia have taken a whack. Dubai International Capital, for instance, bought 3% of India's ICICI bank for more than $700 million in July 2007. Since then, ICICI's shares have fallen 53%.
For Asian and Middle Eastern investors, negotiating the written and unwritten rules of each others' business environments isn't easy. While India may be "the backyard" of the Gulf region, says Georges Makhoul, Middle East president for Morgan Stanley (MS), China and other countries farther east are more challenging for Arabs to understand and penetrate. A recent Chinese delegation to Kuwait tried to pitch investors on projects in the mainland that might cost anywhere from $10 million to $100 million, but the Kuwaitis considered those too small. Instead, they expressed interest in a $400 million industrial development zone and a $300 million tower with offices and a hotel. "Arabs don't like to invest in small projects—only huge ones," says Lin Shunjie, a Chinese trade official. "If they invest in real estate in Shanghai, they want to invest in the tallest building."
MEGAPROJECTS ACROSS ASIA
A handful of sophisticated investors is helping to break down those cultural barriers. A key Gulf emissary has been Mohamed Ali Alabbar, chairman of developer Emaar Properties and a top advisor to Dubai's ruler Mohammed bin Rashid al Maktoum. Alabbar has an undergraduate degree from Seattle University in the U.S, but he got his first taste of razzle-dazzle entrepreneurship working as a banker and investor in Singapore in the late 1980s and early '90s. "Interacting with the Chinese was such a gift for me," he says over lunch at his sunny Dubai home, looking out over a swimming pool to his private six-hole golf course. Now he's working on some $5 billion worth of hotels, golf course communities, and shopping malls in India, Indonesia, Pakistan, and China—though some of those projects will likely be delayed due to the credit crisis.
In both regions giant, state-controlled companies are leading the way. With more than half of Saudi crude flowing to Asia, Saudi Aramco, the national oil company, is trying to lock up markets in the region. In China, Aramco is a partner in a $5 billion refinery and petrochemical complex in Fujian Province, while China's Sinopec is displaying the green, blue, and white Aramco logo on 31 of its gas stations. Sinopec, meanwhile, is one of a handful of foreign oil companies looking for gas in the restrictive Kingdom.
Riyadh has set up a vast initiative called Jazan Economic City to attract Asian capital. Today, Jazan is a remote, 40-square-mile strip of desert scrub and mangrove flats on the Red Sea, not far from the Yemeni border. One of the project's anchors is supposed to be a $4.5 billion aluminum smelter and power plant owned by local partners and China Aluminum (ACH), or Chalco. And the Saudis are looking for a partner on a refinery in Jazan. Asian businesses are being told that Jazan has at least three attractions: subsidized energy, a foothold in the Gulf, and proximity to booming markets in East Africa. The Saudis hope Jazan will soak up high unemployment in one of the Kingdom's poorest areas. But in the early stages, at least, thousands of workers are likely to be imported from China, India, and elsewhere in Asia because locals lack the necessary skills.
EGYPTIAN ARM-TWISTING
While oil-exporting nations want to lock up markets for their crude, Egypt and other Arab states are pushing Asian countries for investment that creates jobs. China's exports to Egypt have more than quadrupled since 2003, to $4.7 billion in 2007—roughly 18 times the value of Egyptian exports to China. The Egyptians want China to compensate by manufacturing in Egypt. "We are trying to make Egypt a hub for China to export from," says Ahmed El Sewedy, chief executive of Cairo-based El Sewedy Cables and head of the Egyptian-China Chamber of Commerce.
Drive about an hour northeast of Cairo, and you'll see evidence that the Egyptian arm-twisting may be working. In a secluded stretch of desert near the mouth of the Suez Canal, TEDA—one of China's biggest development agencies, based in the northern port city of Tianjin—is carving out a manufacturing zone. The aim is to attract some 50 Chinese-owned factories that would employ 10,000 Egyptians and 1,000 Chinese. Seven companies are already operating in the area, including a Chinese/Egyptian venture that assembles oil drilling rigs and another that makes disposable garments for hospitals and restaurants. Liu Aimin, general manager of Egypt-TEDA Investment, the company that's developing the zone, ticks off Egypt's attractions for Chinese companies: cheap labor, trade agreements that ease entry of goods into the U.S., Europe, and Arab countries, and a location "at the crossroads of Asia, Africa, and Europe, facing 1 billion customers."
Like most Chinese in the region, the TEDA people seem hunkered down in the middle of nowhere, worrying about security. Indian businessmen in the Middle East, by contrast, seem much more willing to mix with the locals. In nearby Ismailiya, a pony-tailed Indian textile designer named Siddharth Sinha and his father, Man Mohan Sinha, have set up a factory to make women's jeans. The Velocity Apparelz plant boasts spacious meeting rooms full of edgy art where buyers from companies such as Levi Strauss, Zara, and Gap (GPS) come to see new designs. The 2,700 workers, many of them young women in headscarves, use lasers to burn wear marks onto the fabric and phalanxes of embroidery machines to stitch flowers along the seams. The plant—one of three the Sinhas operate in Egypt—is likely to turn out more than $40 million in jeans this year, and the Sinhas have acquired land for a fourth factory near Cairo. "India is a very difficult place to operate," says the younger Sinha. "So we said: 'Why not do something completely different?'"
Business Exchange: Read, save, and add content on BW's new Web 2.0 topic network
Turkey Looks to Central Asia
Russia's war with Georgia last summer may have created an opening for Turkey to boost its ties with Central Asia. A Turkish delegation to the region in October sought to dramatically increase trade over the next two years, the online publication Eurasia Daily Monitor reported on Oct. 22. While energy will be a keystone of that effort, Turkish companies also do construction work in the region and have significant investments in Central Asian companies. Turkey shares linguistic, religious, and cultural traditions with the region, and it may use that common heritage to counter Russian and Chinese influences in Central Asia.
To read the Eurasia Monitor article, go to http://bx.businessweek.com/investing-in-turkey
Reed is London bureau chief for BusinessWeek. Roberts is BusinessWeek's Asia News Editor and China bureau chief. Lakshman covers India business for BusinessWeek.
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India's Technology Industry Fears Cuts in Outsourcing from US
http://voanews.com/english/2008-11-07-voa14.cfm
Anjana Pasricha
New Delhi
07 November 2008
Many in India cheered Barack Obama's victory in the U.S. presidential election. But India's technology and outsourcing sector is watching cautiously to see if a new U.S. administration will implement policies that will cut down outsourcing from American companies. Anjana Pasricha has a report from New Delhi.
Over the last decade, Indian companies have flourished as overseas companies outsource work such as sales calls, technical help desks, accounting and software development to India. The country's huge pool of English-speaking graduates and software engineers work at a fraction of the wages paid in the West, helping to cut down the cost of doing business.
But there is some uncertainty if work will continue to flow from American companies at the same pace under a new U.S. administration. During his campaign, Senator Barack Obama said he will give incentives to companies that create jobs at home, and stop giving tax breaks to those that ship jobs overseas.
Indian finance minister, P. Chidambaram, remains optimistic that India's outsourcing sector will not be impacted.
"A comment here or a comment there about outsourcing etc. should not bother us," he said. "Once he is in office, he will realize that in an interconnected world, countries have to work together."
However, some industry analysts fear that U.S. businesses, already battling an economic crisis, will reduce work sent to countries like India. Much of the work is farmed out by clients in the banking, financial services and insurance sector - many of which are hit hard by the financial meltdown.
By Others are optimistic that any slowdown in outsourcing will be short lived. The president of Business Process Industries Association of India, Samir Chopra, says eventually economic pragmatism will prevail, ensuring that outsourcing continues to flourish.
"There is a little bit of uneasy wariness in this entire process, but it going to be very short term. Eventually what would take over is the economics of the business ... they would have to necessarily outsource to reduce the absolute cost of doing business. So outsourcing definitely would bounce back," said Chopra.
Nearly 400 of the world's 500 largest companies outsource some work to India - and a large chunk of this comes from U.S. clients. Rapid expansion in recent years has helped the technology and outsourcing sector's earnings to grow to $50 billion annually. But in recent months, growth has begun to slow, and many IT and outsourcing companies expect lower profits this year.
US ‘job refugees’ turn to China
http://sify.com/finance/fullstory.php?id=14792508
Venkatesan Vembu/ DNA MONEY | Friday, 07 November , 2008, 08:44
Hong Kong: The worsening recession in the US is driving “economic refugees,” including Wall Street bankers and financial managers, to look for career opportunities in China. However, recruiters and trainers who know the China market say their chances of making it in the dragon country are lean.
Andrew Hupert, who teaches International Negotiation at New York University’s Shanghai campus and is a consultant for leading multinationals, says, “Lately, I’ve been hearing from lots of people, including experienced bankers and financial managers, who see the Wall Street economy falling off the cliff, are convinced that China is the answer to their prayers and are curious about the chances of finding gainful employment here.”
Will China come out to rescue the world?
“Right now, the enquiries are coming largely from professionals in the finance and real estate industries, but pretty soon we’ll see others from a broader cross-section of professions and industries,” he says.
“Some of these ‘job refugees’ say they have always considered relocating to China as a secondary plan, but are now seeing the rising opportunity cost of not acting on that,” says Hupert, who advises multinationals on their China marketing strategy.
Recession looms large, warns IMF's Lipsky
Nancy Lui Neumann, managing partner at Hong Kong Executive Search, also sees a rising trend of professionals gravitating towards China and other parts of Asia to beat the downturn.
“In recent times, Wall Street investment banking professionals have even begun looking for opportunities in other spaces like corporate risk management and marketing,” says Neumann.
“These professionals used to see the investment banking industry as the goose that laid the golden egg… Now they see it a little differently, and I believe there will be more and more executives wanting to test-drive the Asian market,” she adds.
More India business stories
But the passage to China is unlikely to work out smoothly for many of these job seekers.
“This may be the beginning of a very one-sided love affair,” says Hupert. And why?
“Wall Street-style finance was never highly respected in China - and after everything that’s happened this year, it’s sort of looked upon like a war crime.”
In any case, China doesn’t have developed, deep financial markets of the sort Hong Kong, New York or London do. “And the kind of financial infrastructure that these Wall Street professionals are used to working with doesn’t exist here.”
Compounding their problem is the fact that the Chinese economy has problems of its own. “There’s a good chance that the worst of the economic downturn in China will occur when western economies start to recover, perhaps 18 months down the line,” says Hupert.
More critically, in China, the trend is of greater ‘localisation’. Chinese professionals who can be hired at much lower remuneration are thus moving up the ladder to occupy middle management positions - “the same posts that a lot of these ‘Western transplants’ see themselves taking up.”
“So, I’m very sceptical that these established finance professionals can transplant themselves into a ‘pure China’ environment,” Hupert adds.
There are other considerations that work to the disadvantage of these ‘job refugees’ and inhibit recruiters from hiring them.
More India business stories
“For one thing, these ‘newbies’ aren’t going to hit the ground running in China: some expats who come over take a long time to get the hang of things here.” More strikingly, when the US economy recovers and Wall Street and western banks and western companies start hiring again, “there’s a good chance these people will leave - with the blueprint for your business and quite literally the keys to the kingdom!” says Hupert.
Under license from www.3dsyndication.com
Friday, November 7, 2008
Myanmar: Teachers and pupils struggle in temporary schools
http://www.reliefweb.int/rw/rwb.nsf/db900SID/LSGZ-7L5K9C?OpenDocument
YANGON, 6 November 2008 (IRIN) - Of the 4,000 schools damaged or destroyed when Cyclone Nargis hit the Ayeyarwady Delta in May, almost half have been restored.
However, according to Thierry Delbreuve, head of the UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA), Myanmar: "Schools are being rebuilt but there are still 2,500 schools which need particular attention.
"These are still temporary schools. They need to be adequately equipped and buildings need to be constructed as some extensive damage has been done," he said.
Scores of schools were left with unusable latrines, while others reported widespread loss of school furniture, teaching and learning materials.
But despite the physical damage many have resumed classes, bringing a much-needed sense of normalcy to thousands of children.
At the Pyi Thar Yar primary school in the Ayeyarwady Delta, 56 students continue to hold classes in a temporary shelter, covered with little more than tarpaulin sheeting, while others are slightly better off. The primary school in the village of Hmaw bi, about 2.4km from Pyapon and also in the delta, has been up and running since June despite the fact that its building collapsed.
Currently housed in a local monastery, the school accommodates close to 250 children up to grade five.
"Can you hear me? Read the sentence I have written on the blackboard," Aye Min Latt, a fourth-grade teacher instructs the pupils. "We need to shout very loud for them to hear us. We are tired, but the children are tired as well," the 29-year-old teacher said.
There is no space for tables and chairs for the teachers, forcing them to sit alongside the students on long wooden benches instead. The only table has been put aside for the headmaster.
But while there may not be much space, the school has furniture, blackboards, and textbooks and materials provided by the UN Children's Fund (UNICEF), Gate Way and other private donors.
Hmaw bi primary school is just one of 2,038 schools (1,519 in Ayeyarwady and 519 in Yangon) receiving UNICEF support, comprising roofing sheets, furniture and textbooks.
"UNICEF is only one agency with limited resources and human capacity. Addressing other schools is done by the government and other organisations," UNICEF's Myanmar education chief, Niki Abrishamian, said.
Cyclone trauma continues
Meanwhile, as agencies address the physical needs of the schools, psychological problems also need to be addressed.
Scores of children were badly traumatised by the storm and continue to need psychosocial support.
Nay Lin Tun, a 10-year-old third grader in Hmaw bi, still misses friends who perished in the storm. "I'm not happy in the school like before because I miss my friends," he said.
"Sometimes I call out their names by mistake," Aye Min Latt admits. "I try not to mention their names in the class," she said.
Many of the children in her class have lost interest in their studies.
"I have to repeat things many times to make them understand. Sometimes they just look at me with empty eyes without listening to me," she said.
The teachers are not immune. "When I see windy and rainy weather, I simply stop," Aye Min Latt said.
To cope, UNICEF, with the Ministry of Education, has prepared thousands of handbooks - including tips for teachers to help children better cope with the effects of the cyclone - to be distributed soon.
According to experts, getting children back into the classroom is viewed as critical to the long-term recovery of the cyclone-affected area.
cm/ds/mw
[END]
လြတ္လပ္မႈ-(၆)-ဆရာေတာ္ဦးေဇာတိက
လြတ္လပ္မႈဆိုတာ ဘာလဲဆိုရင္ ပညာဥာဏ္နဲ ့ ယွဥ္ျပီးေတာ့ လုပ္သင့္တာကို လုပ္တာ လြတ္လပ္မႈလို ့ ေျပာလို ့ရတယ္။
ကိုယ္အက်ိဳးရိွဖို ့ သူတစ္ပါးအက်ိဳး ထိခိုက္တဲ့အလုပ္ေတြကို စည္းမဲ့ကမ္းမဲ့ လုပ္တာဟာ လြတ္လပ္မႈ မဟုတ္ဘူး။
လူ ့အသိုင္းအဝိုင္း တစ္ခုလုံးအတြက္ အက်ိဳးရိွတာကို သိျပီး လုပ္နိုင္တဲ့သူဟာ လြတ္လပ္မႈရိွတဲ့လူ ျဖစ္တယ္။
ကိုယ္လည္းပဲ အက်ိဳးရိွေအာင္၊ အမ်ားလည္းပဲ အက်ိဳးရိွေအာင္ စဥ္းစားျပီး လုပ္မယ္။ ကိုယ္ပဲ အက်ိဳးရိွေအာင္ လို ့ဆိုတဲ့
အတၱစဲြႀကီးနဲ ့ မလုပ္ေတာ့ဘူး။ အဲဒီလိုလူဟာ ေပ်ာ္လည္း ေပ်ာ္တယ္၊ ႀကည္လင္ရႊင္လန္းတဲ့စိတ္လည္းရိွတယ္။
တစ္ကိုယ္ေကာင္းဆန္ဆန္ သူမ်ားကို ဒုကၡေပးျပီး ကိုယ္က်ိဳးရွာတဲ့သူဟာ လြတ္လပ္တဲ့သူ မဟုတ္ဘူး။
တကယ္ လြတ္လပ္တဲ့သူဟာ အတၱစဲြကို လြန္ေျမာက္ခဲ့ျပီ။ ဒါေႀကာင့္ တစ္ကိုယ္ေကာင္းမဆန္ဘူး။
မျပည့္ဝတဲ့သူဟာ ဂရုဏာ မထားနုိင္ဘူး။ မျပည့္ဝတဲ့သူဟာ သူ ့မွာ ဘယ္ေလာက္ရိွရိွ လိုေသးတယ္လို ့ပဲ
ထင္ေနတယ္။ နည္းေသးတယ္လို ့ပဲ ထင္ေနတယ္။ သူမ်ားရမွာကို မလိုလားဘူး။ အခု ဂရုဏာမရိွ တစ္ကိုယ္ေကာင္း
ဆန္ဆန္ လုပ္ေနႀကတာေတြဟာ ဘာေႀကာင့္လဲ။ မျပည့္ဝလို ့။ ခ်ိဳ ့တဲ့ေနတဲ့စိတ္ ရိွလို ့။ ျပည့္စုံတဲ့စိတ္ မရိွလို ့ ။
လြတ္လပ္တဲ့စိတ္ မရိွလို ့။
လြတ္လပ္မႈဆိုတာ လူ ့အခြင့္အေရးလို ့ ေျပာႀကပါတယ္။ မွန္ပါတယ္။ ဒါေပမဲ့ ပိုျပီးအဆင့္ျမင့္တဲ့ လြတ္လပ္မႈကို
စဥ္းစားရင္ေတာ့ ကိုယ့္ ကိုယ္ကိုကိုယ္ လြတ္လပ္တဲ့သူ ျဖစ္ေအာင္ လုပ္ရမွာ လူတိုင္းရဲ့ အခြင့္အေရးနဲ ့
တာဝန္ ျဖစ္တယ္။
အခြင့္အေရးဆိုတာ ကိုယ့္ဘဝကိုကိုယ္ တာဝန္ယူနိုင္တဲ့သူအတြက္ပဲ ျဖစ္တယ္။ တာဝန္မဲ့ ေနတဲ့သူ ၊
စည္းမဲ့ကမ္းမဲ့ ေနတဲ့သူဟာ လြတ္လပ္မႈနဲ ့ မတန္တဲ့သူ ျဖစ္တယ္။
လြတ္လပ္မႈ-(၅)-ဆရာေတာ္ဦးေဇာတိက
အခ်ိန္ပို ရိွရင္ အခ်ိန္ျဖံဳးတဲ့သူ၊ ပညာမရွာတဲ့သူ၊ ကိုယ့္အရည္အခ်င္းကို ျမင့္ေအာင္ မႀကိဳးစားတဲ့သူဟာ လြတ္လပ္မႈ
မရိွတဲ့သူပဲ။ လြတ္လြတ္လပ္လပ္ သုံးခြင့္ရိွတဲ့အခ်ိန္ကို အေကာင္းဆုံးေနရာမွာ သုံးတဲ့သူဟာ တစ္ေန ့တျခား အရည္အခ်င္း
ပိုရိွလာတယ္။ လြတ္လပ္တဲ့သူ ျဖစ္လာတယ္။
အခ်ိန္ပိုကို ဘယ္လို သုံးသလဲ။ အဲဒါကို ႀကည့္ျပီး ဒီလူဟာ ဘယ္လိုလူ ျဖစ္လာမလဲဆိုတာ ေျပာနိုင္ပါတယ္။
အခ်ိန္ပိုမွာ ဘာလုပ္သလဲ။ အဲဒါကပဲ လြတ္လပ္မႈနဲ ့ တန္တယ္ မတန္ဘူး ဆိုတာကို အဆုံးအျဖတ္ေပးလိမ့္မယ္။
ကုိယ့္ကိုယ္ကိုကိုယ္ လြတ္လပ္တဲ့သူတစ္ေယာက္ ျဖစ္ေအာင္ လုပ္ရမဲ့တာဝန္ကို မလုပ္တဲ့သူဟာ လူ ့အသိုင္းအဝိုင္းရဲ့
တာဝန္ မေက်တဲ့သူ ျဖစ္တယ္။
ကိုယ့္ကိုယ္ကိုကိုယ္ တကယ္လြတ္လပ္တဲ့သူ တစ္ေယာက္ျဖစ္ေအာင္လုပ္တာဟာ လူ ့အသိုင္းအဝိုင္းကို ကိုယ္က
ေပးရမဲ့ အရာတစ္ခုကို ေပးလိုက္တာပဲ။ ကိုယ့္ကိုယ္ကိုကိုယ္ လြတ္လပ္တဲ့သူျဖစ္ေအာင္ မလုပ္ရင္ လူ ့အသိုင္းအဝိုင္း
ေပၚမွာ အေႀကြးတင္ေနတယ္။
လြတ္လပ္မႈဆိုတာထဲမွာ အသိုင္းအဝိုင္းအေပၚ တာဝန္သိမႈ ဆိုတာ ပါဝင္ေနတယ္။
တာဝန္သိမႈဟာ လြတ္လပ္မႈအတြက္ မရိွမျဖစ္တဲ့အရာ ျဖစ္တယ္။ တာဝန္မသိတဲ့သူ၊ တာဝန္မဲ့လုပ္တဲ့သူဟာ
လြတ္လပ္မႈနဲ ့ မတန္တဲ့သူ ျဖစ္တယ္။
သူ ့လြတ္လပ္မႈကို ကာကြယ္ေပးတဲ့နည္းနဲ ့ပဲ ကိုယ့္ရဲ့ လြတ္လပ္မႈကို ကာကြယ္လို ့ရမယ္။ ငါလည္း လြတ္လပ္ျပီး
သူလည္းလြတ္လပ္မွ လြတ္လပ္မႈ တကယ္ ရိွနိုင္မယ္။
ကုိယ္က လြတ္လပ္မႈကို ပိုျပီး လိုခ်င္ရင္ သူမ်ားကို လြတ္လပ္မႈပိုရိွေအာင္ အတတ္နိုင္ဆုံး အကူအညီေပးပါ။
သူမ်ား လြတ္လပ္မႈ ဆုံးရံႈးေနတာကို ငါနဲ ့ မဆိုင္ဘူးလို ့ သင္ သေဘာထားရင္ သင့္လြတ္လပ္မႈလည္း မႀကာခင္
ဆုံးရံႈးသြားမွာ ေသခ်ာတယ္။
ကိုယ့္လြတ္လပ္ခြင့္ဟာ သူတို ့လြတ္လပ္ခြင့္ကို အႏၱရာယ္ျဖစ္ေအာင္ မလုပ္ရဘူး။
လြတ္လပ္မႈ-(၄)-ဆရာေတာ္ဦးေဇာတိက
ပစၥည္းေတြေတာ့ အမ်ားႀကီး ပိုင္ပါတယ္။ ကိုယ့္ဘဝကိုယ္ေတာ့ မပိုင္ဘူး။ ဘာျဖစ္လို ့လဲ။
ဘဝကို ေရာင္းစားထားလို ့ေပါ့။
ေငြရျပီး ဂုဏ္ရိွျပီး လြတ္လပ္မႈမရိွတဲ့ ဘဝကို မက္ေမာတာဟာ ဘဝရဲ့ ျမင့္ျမတ္တဲ့သေဘာကို မခံစားတတ္လို ့ပါ။
ေငြရဖို ့ကို ႀကိဳးစားတယ္။ လြတ္လပ္မႈ ဆုံးရံႈးမွာကိုေတာ့ ထည့္မတြက္ဘူး ဆိုရင္ လြတ္လပ္မႈထက္ ေငြကို
ပိုျပီးတန္ဖိုးထားတယ္လို ့ အဓိပါၸယ္ ေပါက္တယ္။ ကိုယ့္ကိုယ္ကိုကိုယ္ ေငြနဲ ့ ေရာင္းစားလိုက္တာလို ့ပဲ အဓိပါၸယ္
ေပါက္ေနတယ္။ ကိုယ့္ကိုယ္ကိုကိုယ္ (sold out) ေငြနဲ ့ ေရာင္းစားလိုက္တာဟာ က်ြန္ခံ လိုက္တာပဲ။
အေနေခ်ာင္တဲ့ဘဝဟာ ေထာင္ေခ်ာက္နဲ ့တူတယ္။
သူတို ့ကို ခ်ည္ထားတဲ့ သံႀကိဳးကို ခ်စ္ေနတဲ့ လူမိုက္ေတြကို လြတ္လပ္သြားေအာင္ လုပ္ေပးဖို ့ သိပ္ခက္ပါတယ္။
Chained by his certitudes, he is a slave, he's forfeited his freedom.
ေသခ်ာမႈဆိုတဲ့သံႀကိဳးေတြက သူ ့ကို တုတ္ေႏွာင္ထားလိုက္ျပီး၊ သူဟာက်ြန္ပဲ။ သူဟာ သူ ့လြတ္လပ္မႈကို ေသခ်ာမႈနဲ ့
လဲလိုက္ျပီး။ လြတ္လပ္မႈကို အဆုံးရံႈး ခံလိုက္ျပီး။
လြတ္လပ္မႈကို တကယ္ခ်စ္တဲ့သူဟာ လုပ္ေနက် အလုပ္ကို လုပ္တာမွာေတာင္ ပိုေကာင္းေအာင္ လုပ္တယ္။
စြန္ ့စားတဲ့သူမွပဲ တကယ္လြတ္လပ္တဲ့သူျဖစ္တယ္။ ေျပာင္းလဲေနတဲ့သူမွပဲ လြတ္လပ္တယ္။ တီထြင္ႀကံဆျပီး
လုပ္ေနတဲ့သူမွပဲ လြတ္လပ္တယ္။
လြတ္လပ္တဲ့သူဟာ ကိုယ့္နည္းကိုယ့္ဟန္နဲ ့ လုပ္တယ္။ ကိုယ့္နည္းကိုယ့္ဟန္နဲ ့ ကုိယ့္ဘဝကို ကိုယ္ေနတယ္။
ဘယ္သူနဲ ့မွ တူဖို ့လည္း မႀကိဳးစားဘူး၊ မတူဖို ့လည္း မႀကိဳးစားဘူး။
Joint Statement Issued by All Burma Monks’ Alliance and the 88 Generation Students
Back to reality for Barack ,Election euphoria over; stocks slump anew
http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/inquirerheadlines/nation/view/20081107-170695/Back-to-reality-for-Barack
Philippine Daily Inquirer
First Posted 01:10:00 11/0
Close this LONDON—Market euphoria over Barack Obama’s historic election as America’s first black president quickly dissipated on Thursday, as more jobs vanished and stock markets slumped in the face of the world’s relentless economic crisis.
After a sharp rise on election day, markets in the United States, Asia and Europe tumbled as investors shifted their focus on grim economic data—bigger-than-expected US job losses, sharp contraction in the world’s services sector, steep declines in house prices and a manufacturing retreat in Britain.
A series of dire profit warnings from major Asian companies such as Japan’s Toyota Motor Corp. and Isuzu Motors Ltd. and Hong Kong carrier Cathay Pacific Airways Ltd. also yanked markets back to the reality of depressed economic conditions.
“We’re coming back to reality . . . despite the euphoria over the election, the world’s economy hasn’t changed,” said Francis Lun, general manager of Fulbright Securities in Hong Kong.
Japan’s Nikkei stock average retreated 6.5 percent, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index lost 7.1 percent and South Korea’s benchmark Kospi index broke a five-session winning streak to dive 7.6 percent. Markets in Singapore, Australia and mainland China also dropped sharply.
Tracking losses in Asia, European stocks got off to a weak start, with benchmarks in Germany, Britain and France down about 3 percent. Russia’s MICEX tumbled 8 percent, prompting the bourse to announce that trade would be suspended for an hour.
The pullback was in line with big losses on Wall Street, where investor optimism surrounding Obama’s election evaporated in the face of gloomy economic news. The Dow Jones industrial average, S&P 500 index and Nasdaq composite index all plunged 5 percent.
US stock index futures were down, suggesting Wall Street would open lower on Thursday. Dow futures were down 1.1 percent, while S&P futures were down 1.4 percent.
Bleak warnings
A day after his landslide victory, President-elect Obama heard not only a chorus of congratulations from around the world but also bleak warnings about the creeping global recession that is certain to crowd the top of his agenda, along with the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.
World leaders and investors are looking forward to Obama’s appointment of the key members of his economic team, particularly the new US treasury secretary who will oversee the $700-billion fund that will be used to buy distressed assets and shore up wobbly financial institutions.
“Even though there’s a lot of enthusiasm and a lot of excitement around the new president, I think it’s going to be very difficult for anything quick to happen,” said Dean Barber, president of Barber Financial Group in Kansas City.
“Today we just had reality set in that . . . we’re still losing jobs and we still have consumer spending at very low levels and we are heading into a holiday season that looks like it could be one of the worst,” Barber said.
Data released on Wednesday showed US private employers cut a larger-than-expected 157,000 jobs in October, presaging another whopping job-loss figure on Friday when the labor department is scheduled to issue the more market-sensitive non-farm payrolls data.
The Institute for Supply Management also reported that the service sector—the largest component of America’s gross domestic product—contracted sharply in October as new orders and employment fell.
A survey also showed global services activity last month hit its lowest since 2001. In Britain, manufacturing suffered its longest decline since 1980.
In another sign that no corner of the world has been spared the pain, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) approved a hefty $16.5-billion loan for Ukraine.
There were also reports of more job losses from big companies.
Sources said investment bank Goldman Sachs planned to lay off another 3,200 employees. Rupert Murdoch’s News Corp.—which owns a TV network, movie studios and The Wall Street Journal—said it would carry out cost-cutting measures across all its businesses.
Adding to the gloom were dismal corporate reports, which sparked sell-offs in stock markets.
In Tokyo, Toyota fell 10.3 percent after it slashed its earnings forecast for the full year to less than a third of what it was the previous year. The world’s biggest automaker is the latest casualty in an industry hit hard by the slump.
Isuzu shares tumbled 20.7 percent after the truck maker announced a larger-than-expected cut to full-year earnings estimates the previous day.
Negative indicators
Negative economic indicators out of the United States weighed heavily on shares of electronics companies in Asia. Japan’s Panasonic Corp. lost 8.5 percent, while South Korea’s Samsung Electronics Co. declined 4.6 percent.
Hong Kong’s Cathay Pacific plummeted over 14 percent after the carrier, Asia’s third largest airline, warned that full-year results would be “disappointing” due to slumping revenue and losses from hedging its jet fuel costs.
Amid fears that a global recession will undercut energy demand, world crude prices sank further.
Light, sweet crude for December delivery was down 70 cents to $64.60 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange by late afternoon in Singapore. The contract settled at $65.30 overnight. Oil prices have fallen by about 56 percent since peaking at $147.27 a barrel in mid-July.
Pressure to cut rates
Amid mounting evidence the world economy is slowing, the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England have come under pressure to slash borrowing costs by a record margin later on Thursday.
The ECB, staring at the first euro zone-wide recession since its inception in 1999, is seen certain to cut its benchmark rate by half a point to a two-year low of 3.25 percent. But interest rate traders are pricing in a cut of 75 basis points.
A half-point reduction would match the Oct. 8 emergency cut made in unison with the US Federal Reserve and other major central banks. A larger reduction would be the ECB’s biggest ever.
There is also mounting pressure on the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to act aggressively with financial markets factoring in a 75-basis-point cut.
Some economists are even calling for a full percentage point cut or more, which would be the MPC’s most dramatic move since it was set up 11 years ago.
The US Federal Reserve and central banks in Japan and China cut rates last week to shield their economies from the crisis that began when a US housing boom soured 15 months ago. Australia kicked off this week’s round with a hefty 75 basis point cut.
Hopes raised
Obama’s victory, along with the Democrats’ tighter grip on Congress, has raised hopes of a speedier injection of billions of dollars aimed at shoring up the struggling US economy.
But the first black US president has to wait until Jan. 20 next year to move into the White House and prove his mettle in tackling the worst economic crisis since the 1930s.
For now, the onus is on the current Bush administration and central banks and governments elsewhere to act.
A senior official said President George W. Bush would urge leaders of the world’s 20 major economies at a Nov. 15 summit in Washington not to use the global economic crisis as an excuse to erect trade barriers and stifle markets.
Pacific Rim officials, who gathered in Peru ahead of that meeting, called for large emerging economies such as China and Brazil to have a greater say in running the world’s financial system.
“Our projection for next year, 2009, is for 100 percent of global economic growth to come from emerging market nations,” said John Lipsky, the IMF’s first deputy managing director.
Reports from Reuters, AP and AFP
IBM Signs Agreement With Japan Industrial Waste Technology Center to Upgrade Registration and Management System
November 06, 2008: 02:05 PM EST
IBM (NYSE: IBM) today announced an agreement with the Japan Industrial Waste Technology Center to upgrade its "JWNET" electronic manifest system for industrial waste. The electronic manifest system is a digital system that can manage the entire flow of online information exchanges on industrial waste to final processing between dischargers, collectors and transferors, and disposal contractors. The upgraded system will be launched in May 2010 and should provide a reliable and flexible infrastructure to correspond with the increasing number of registrations and transactions. The agreement was signed in October 2008.
The Japan Industrial Waste Technology Center manages waste processing related to industrial development, maintenance and overall improvement of the environment. It is the only organization defined by the Japanese government as an administrator of the electronic manifest system based on the nation's "Waste Management and Public Cleansing Law." The Japan Industrial Waste Technology Center has recently seen an increase in the number of users, data, and transactions of the system, generating more data to be managed and stored every year. At the same time, there is a growing need for industrial waste process transparency. To address these issues and provide steady operation, the Japan Industrial Waste Technology Center required a substantial re-development of its waste processing system.
The Japan Industrial Waste Technology Center decided to team with IBM in Japan after assessing IBM's broad experiences and skills. IBM will utilize industry knowledge gained from previous experiences in developing and operating environmental systems.
About IBM
China envoy ends historic Taiwan visit amid violent protests
http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20081107/ts_afp/taiwanchinapolitics_081107050501
by Amber Wang Amber Wang –
Fri Nov 7, 12:05 am ET AFP – Pro-
Taiwan independence activists scuffle with riot police in Taipei. More than 60 police were injured … TAIPEI (AFP) – A historic week of meetings paving the way for closer cooperation between China and Taiwan ended Friday as local politicians traded barbs over sometimes violent protests that marred the talks.
Beijing's top envoy Chen Yunlin made history on Thursday when he met Taiwan's President Ma Ying-jeou, as the most senior Chinese official to visit the island since it split from China at the end of a civil war in 1949.
But angry protests followed his five-day visit at every turn.
More than 60 police were injured in overnight clashes in Taipei, the National Police Agency said, while local media reported more than 50 protesters and journalists were also hurt.
The ruling Kuomintang and the pro-independence opposition Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), which organised the demonstration, traded barbs over the unexpected violence -- the worst protest clashes in 10 years.
DPP parliamentarian Lai Ching-teh claimed the party had abided by their promise of staging a peaceful protest and taken the crowd away from the presidential office plaza on Thursday.
"Those who used violence were sent by the Kuomintang," Lai told reporters.
But the accusation was flatly rejected by the Kuomintang.
"Since DPP chairwoman Tsai Ing-wen led her supporters to the street, she has to take full responsibility for the violence," the KMT said in a statement.
A survey of around 800 people carried out by Taipei's Apple Daily found nearly a third thought the DPP were to blame for the violence. A quarter pointed the finger at President Ma Ying-jeou of the China-friendly Kuomintang, saying he had failed to safeguard the island's sovereignty.
On Thursday some 2,200 riot police backed by water cannon were dispatched to Taipei's Grand Hotel where Chen was staying as around 1,000 people staged rowdy and at times violent protests, police said.
Some threw eggs, rocks, bottled water and petrol bombs at police in an attempt to get past barbed wire barricades.
At a press conference shortly before his departure, Chen, his eyes red, appeared close to tears as he thanked Taiwanese security officials.
"I would like to express our thanks to the police," he told reporters. "They made many sacrifices and shed blood during the tense protests. Words cannot describe our appreciation," Chen said, bowing briefly.
On Thursday, thousands of mainly DPP-supporting demonstrators rallied in central Taipei to protest Chen's brief meeting with president Ma.
Organisers put the turnout at more than 100,000 while police estimated the size of the crowd to be 10,000.
The cacophony could be heard for kilometres (miles) around the central government plaza as they moved off, on foot and in vans equipped with loudspeakers, towards the Grand Hotel.
The protesters are opposed to deals that Taipei and Beijing insist will bring enormous economic benefit to both sides, fearful that money and jobs will flood out of Taiwan as businesses seek to take advantage of cheap labour and resources in China.
Once Sizzling, China Economy Shows Rapid Signs of Fizzling
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/07/business/worldbusiness/07yuan.html
By DAVID BARBOZA
Published: November 6, 2008
SHANGHAI — Each new forecast of China’s economic fortunes predicts slower growth than the forecast that preceded it.
Times Topics: Credit Crisis ・The EssentialsJust as China attained supercharged growth that astounded much of the world, it appears to be slowing more sharply and more quickly than anyone anticipated.
“It’s tough to be optimistic,” said Stephen Green, an economist at Standard Chartered Bank in Shanghai. “The three engines of growth — exports, investment and consumption — have all slowed down.”
The signs are so troubling that last week Prime Minister Wen Jiabao warned that this year would be “the worst in recent years for our economic development.”
A series of government reports released over the last few weeks indicated that China’s export juggernaut was moderating. Real estate construction projects are being suspended. Consumer confidence is in decline. And many factories in southern China are closing, putting tens of thousands of migrant laborers out of work.
Some Chinese companies have even reported that Christmas orders — which were supposed to be placed in late summer or early fall — were down 20 percent this year, as big retailers and toy marketers grew gloomy about the holiday season.
Until recently, many economists had insisted that China was insulated from the global financial crisis rippling through the United States and Europe, and that the Chinese Communist Party had the tools to keep the economy chugging along. But newly released data suggests that nearly every sector of the economy is slowing and credit is tightening in a nation that has grown accustomed to sizzling hot growth.
While few economists expect China to fall into recession, analysts are forecasting the worst growth in more than a decade, with the economy expected to expand by as little as 5.8 percent in the fourth quarter this year, down from about 11 percent in 2007.
Analysts worry that a sharp downturn could undermine the country’s already weakening investment climate and impair some of China’s biggest banks, which have bankrolled much of the boom.
Beijing worries that if growth slows to 8 percent or less, not enough jobs will be created in a country that is rapidly urbanizing — and that could lead to social unrest.
To prevent that, the government is preparing a large economic stimulus package, pushing new infrastructure projects, offering aid to exporters and searching for ways to prop up the nation’s severely depressed stock and real estate markets.
Less than six months ago, the government’s chief concerns were soaring inflation and an economy that was growing too fast.
Now, inventories are piling up around the country as domestic and foreign demand for Chinese goods slackens. In southern China, the government has had to step in to aid migrant workers after factory closures.
Indeed, when the Canton Trade Fair ended this week in the city of Guangzhou, orders at one of the biggest events for Chinese products were down significantly, and so were visitors, according to participants.
But it is not just export-oriented factories that are being hit. Companies that sell in China are also suffering because investment projects are being postponed and consumers are pulling back on major purchases.
After five years of growth over 10 percent, China’s growth rate has decelerated for five consecutive quarters, dropping from 12.6 percent in the second quarter of 2007 to about 9 percent the third quarter of this year.
That growth rate is still strong, but economists say the downturn began sharpening in the last two months. At many factories, large Christmas orders were canceled.
Earlier this week, the government announced that China’s purchase management index, which is used to measure the country’s economic performance, fell in October to its lowest level since it began compiling data in 2005, indicating that orders of all kinds had fallen sharply.
Auto sales in China have plummeted this year. Air travel is in decline. Property sales have dried up, and weakness in the property market is hitting the makers of steel, cement and glass.
“There is a nose dive in real estate construction in south China and east China, the two real estate boom areas,” said Yang Dongsen, a cement industry analyst at Merchant Securities. The real estate slowdown is expected to affect retail sales, which for the last few years had been lifted by new-home buyers purchasing appliances, decorations and other household goods.
It does not help that China’s stock markets have also collapsed, after a stunning rise in 2006 and 2007. Share prices in Hong Kong are down about 50 percent, and the Shanghai composite index has fallen 67 percent this year, wiping out nearly all the gains it had made in the previous two years.
Many economists say they believe that government stimulus packages will stabilize China’s economy and prevent an even steeper decline in growth, and that the economy could pick up steam by the second half of 2009.
Still, many economists say times have changed for a while.
“Don’t count on China to get back to double-digit growth for the next few years,” said Dong Tao, an economist at Credit Suisse in Hong Kong.
Keith Bradsher contributed reporting from Guangzhou. Chen Yang contributed research.
More Articles in Business » A version of this article appeared in print on November 7, 2008, on page B1 of the New York edition.
Burma: A Visit to Naypyidaw
Robert Reid went there earlier this year, and now a correspondent for The Irrawaddy goes undercover to experience the awe and wonder of Burma's secret capitol, and the desolate farming village a few clicks away.
There was one thing that everyone agreed had improved—transportation. The city bus service covers every corner of the town.
In the evening, I went to the northern part of Pyinmana to check out the nightlife. The motorcycle taxi driver I waved down where I wanted to go. “The place where the head officials hang out!” I said flatly.
With a chuckle, the driver said he knew exactly where to take me. He said it was where they had the best karaoke, massage and brothels. He warned me not to cause any trouble.
On the second day, I went around some official buildings and markets in the Naypyidaw area. I couldn’t believe I was actually in Burma. There were huge shiny buildings everywhere and eight-lane concrete roads zigzagging around the official buildings.
Construction work was still going on—workers were building the gem hall and the Myanmar Economic Bank that day. Nearby, a highway from Naypyidaw to Rangoon was being laid. According to an engineer I spoke to, it would reduce the travel time to Rangoon to just three or four hours.
I met one person from the UN. When I asked for his impressions, he grumbled: “This is such a different world from the rest of the country. It shows me that the military generals have enough money when it comes to their own security and comfort.”
He added that he believed the government could rebuild the cyclone-ravaged areas by themselves without outside help. According to the latest UN estimates, the total bill to cover the destruction wrought by Cyclone Nargis would come to some US $4 billion—much less than it has taken to build the new capital.
.
"It's nothing compared with the cost of building Naypyidaw—though we don't have a detailed budget," said an engineer with Ayeyar Shwewar Construction Company, which is owned by a son of Gen Shwe Mann.
According to local reporters, the government is unwilling to display their buildings, let alone a detailed budget. Until recently, local media were forbidden from taking pictures of certain buildings, including City Hall, without a permit.
That afternoon, at Naypyidaw Myoma Market, I discovered there is a shortage of small bank notes in the town. Denominations such as the 50 kyat, 20 kyat, 10 kyat and 5 kyat are in huge demand. If someone gets on a bus, for example, and the ticket costs 50 kyat, that person had better have the correct fare. If he or she only has a 100 or a 200 kyat note and the bus conductor has no change, they have to leave the change.
Some shop owners in Rangoon give a candy instead of a 20 kyat bill.
Posted by Carl Parkes on Thursday, November 06, 2008
Labels: Burma
China flexes military hardware muscle
http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5hyUqJlvWp_EV7UheWrKPXXx3sZ0Q
ZHUHAI, China (AFP) — China's unprecedented display of military hardware at the country's primary airshow was a warning to industry rivals of its global ambitions as a defence manufacturer, analysts said.
As a pair of its fourth-generation J-10 fighter planes made a first public appearance, buzzing past eager crowds at Airshow China 2008, the trade stands hummed with talk of the new missile systems and other equipment on display.
Some analysts believe China's ability to copy overseas technology, witnessed in countless industries over the past 20 years, could soon be powering its defence complex.
"Ten years ago they did not have any modern aircraft industry at all, now they have started to produce copies of our plane," said one Russian defence official, who would only speak on condition of anonymity.
"They will do exactly the same they have done with textiles and toys -- learn how to make it, make it cheaper and then undercut the market."
He said China was possibly 10 years away from developing its own military aircraft engine -- it currently uses engines made by Russian defence giant Sukhoi -- but once it had, it would stop purchasing overseas technology.
"They will stop buying anything from abroad and push cheap Chinese fighters to the third world countries," the official added.
While the European Union and the United States continue to have sanctions on the export of military equipment to many of the world's countries -- including China -- Chinese manufacturers face few such restrictions.
Reports have said China has sold military training aircraft to Myanmar and Zimbabwe, two countries that face some of the toughest sanctions in the world because of their poor human rights records.
However, despite the progress, China is still desperate to access foreign technology.
Chinese officials visited the huge Russian defence displays at Zhuhai, and asked detailed questions about the new Sukhoi-35 fighter, which made its maiden voyage this year.
"They showed a very keen interest in all aspects of the plane, but no agreement to buy the planes was made," said Aleksey Poveshchenko, adviser to Sukhoi's director general.
"We are still in negotiations and maybe we will see something in the coming months."
Trefor Moss, Asia-Pacific editor of defence magazine Jane's, said although China still ranked well below top defence manufacturers in the United States and Britain, the show had highlighted their development.
"It shows there is a lot of healthy competition in the international defence community," he said, comparing the display of military hardware to China's first spacewalk in September.
"At least half the reason for their space programme is nationalistic pride -- I am sure it is the same on the military side," Moss said.
China's development could also have important geopolitical implications, he added, which is part of the reason the United States remains so wary of the country's rapidly growing military budget.
"You have seen the United States trying to align with countries like India and Japan to form a bulwark against China," said Moss.
The US position had "driven Pakistan into China's arms", Moss said, a move evidenced by the presence of the joint Pakistan-China stand at Zhuhai, and the ongoing co-operation between the two countries over the JF-17 fighter plane.
"It has been a long-term relationship and it is going to be important in the future," said one Pakistani Air Force official at the show, who did not want to be named.
"The relationship has strengthened, this project (JF-17) makes that obvious," he added.
And China's desire to regain sovereignty of Taiwan -- the two split in 1949 following a civil war -- remains a huge driver of military policy and explains the new pride in its hardware.
"Taiwan is still the most important thing in their military thinking," said Moss.
Beijing has more than 1,000 missiles aimed at the island and has vowed to retake it, by force if necessary, especially if it declares independence.
အေရာင္တူငွက္မ်ားအေၾကာင္း
ခ်စ္ခင္ေလးစားရတဲ့ မိတ္ေဆြမ်ားသို ့
2001 ဒီဇင္ဘာ မွာ ေရးခဲ့တဲ့ကဗ်ာေလးကိုျပန္လည္ ေဖၚျပလိုက္ပါတယ္။
---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: Ye Yint Thet Zwe
Date: 2008/11/7
ငါတို ့ဟာ
ကိုးကြယ္ရာ ဘာသာအသီးသီးရဲ ့
ဘုရားသခင္မ်ား ဖန္ဆင္းညႊန္ၾကား
တရားဓမၼမ်ားနဲ ့ ႀကီးျပင္းလာတဲ့
အေရာင္တူငွက္မ်ားျဖစ္ၾကတယ္ ၊
ငါတို ့ဟာ
ေလာကပါလ - နီတိတရား
အေကာင္းအဆိုးမ်ားနဲ ့
အေၾကာင္းအက်ိဳးမ်ားကို
ဆင္ျခင္တံုတရား လက္ကိုင္ထားၿပီး
လူသားဘ၀ကို အေလးထားတဲ့
အေရာင္တူငွက္မ်ားျဖစ္ၾကတယ္ ၊
ငါတို ့ဟာ
ေလာကရဲ ့ဓမၼတရား
လြပ္လပ္ ညီမွ် တန္းတူအခြင့္အေရးမ်ား
တပ္မက္က်င့္ႀကံသြားခ်င္တဲ့ဆႏၵျပင္းျပ
အေရာင္တူငွက္မ်ားျဖစ္ၾကတယ္ ၊
ငါတို ့ဟာ
အဓမၼတရားမ်ားကို
ရြံရွာစက္ဆုပ္ - ဆြဲဆုတ္ပစ္ဖို ့
ဦးတည္ဆႏၵ တူညီၾကတဲ့
အေရာင္တူငွက္မ်ားျဖစ္ၾကတယ္ ၊
ငါတို ့ဟာ
အျမင္မတူရင္
ရန္သူလိုသေဘာမထား
လြပ္လပ္စြာကြဲလြဲခြင့္ကိုေလးစား
ဒီမိုကေရစီစနစ္ကိုျမတ္ႏိုးစိတ္ထားနဲ ့
အေရာင္တူငွက္မ်ားျဖစ္ၾကတယ္ ၊
ငါတို ့ဟာ
စည္းလံုးညီညြတ္မႈကို တန္ဖိုးထား
နိပါတ္ေတာ္ထဲက ဇာတ္တူသားစားလို ့
ဟသၤာကိုးေသာင္းပ်က္စီးေၾကာင္းတရား
ေကာင္းေကာင္းႀကီးနားလည္ထားတဲ့
အေရာင္တူငွက္မ်ားျဖစ္ၾကတယ္ ၊
ငါတို ့ဟာ
ႀကီးႏိုင္ငယ္ညွင္း
မင္းမဲ့စရိုက္ဆန္ျခင္း၀ါဒမ်ားနဲ ့
မတရားအုပ္ခ်ဳပ္ မင္းလုပ္ေနတဲ့
အာဏာာရွင္ငမိုက္သားမ်ားကို
ေနာက္ဆံုးေသြးတစက္က်န္သည့္အထိ
တိုက္ပြဲ၀င္သြားမယ့္
အေရာင္တူငွက္မ်ားျဖစ္ၾကတယ္ ။
--
Posted By Ye Yint Thet Zwe to Ye Yint Thet Zwe at 12/01/2001 08:12:00 PM
Fw: [burmainfo] 今週のビルマのニュース（0834号）米大統領選で当選したオバマ氏のビルマ政策は？ほか
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ビルマ市民フォーラム メールマガジン 2008/11/7
People's Forum on Burma
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ビルマ情報ネットワーク（BurmaInfo）からのメールを転送させていただき
ます。
（重複の際は何卒ご容赦ください。）
ＰＦＢ事務局
http://www1.jca.apc.org/pfb/
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
ビルマ情報ネットワークの「今週のビルマのニュース」をお送りします。
「今週のビルマのニュース」バックナンバー
http://www.burmainfo.org/weekly.html
きょうのビルマのニュース（平日毎日更新）もご利用ください。
http://d.hatena.ne.jp/burmainfo/
ビルマ情報ネットワーク （www.burmainfo.org）
秋元由紀
========================================
今週のビルマのニュース Eメール版
2008年11月7日号【0834号】
========================================
【今週の主なニュース】
米大統領選で当選したオバマ氏のビルマ政策は？
戦略国際問題研究所（CSIS）の分析によれば、オバマ氏は
ビルマに対する制裁措置（投資・輸入禁止）を維持すると同時に、
軍事政権を支援することなくビルマ国民に資する人道援助を行う。
また、軍政への働きかけが一定以上の効果を上げていないのは
国際社会がまとまっていないのが原因と認識。したがって、
ASEAN、中国、インド、日本、欧州などの働きかけが互いに
調和の取れたものにするために努力する
（10月18日付CSIS「コンパラティブ・コネクションズ」より）。
【その他】
サイクロン襲来から半年、ほか
・サイクロン「ナルギス」襲来から半年がたった。
NGOセーブ・ザ・チルドレンによれば被災地域では
未だに学校に行けていない子どもが30万人もいる
（4日付イラワディ誌）。また、乾季に入るのに伴い、
清潔な飲料水の不足が深刻化してきている（3日付ロイター）。
被害が大きかったイラワジ・デルタ地域では、サイクロン
襲来後の米の収穫量が例年よりも少なくなると予想
されることから次期の作付けにも悪影響が出ると見られる
（5日付ロイター）。
・ビルマとバングラデシュとが領海線をめぐって争っている
ベンガル湾海域で、ビルマが天然ガスの探鉱を始めた
ことにバングラデシュが抗議し、現場海域に戦艦を送り、
中国に紛争解決への助力を求めた。これを受けてビルマ
側は探鉱作業を一時的に停止した（6日付ロイターほか）。
・アウンサンスーチー氏の主治医が6日、スーチー氏宅を
約2時間訪れた。詳細は不明（6日付AFP）。
・ビルマ当局は新憲法の二か国語（ビルマ語・英語）版の
販売を開始した。国営紙によれば政府系の書店で
購入できる（3日付VOA）。
・スイスのコレンコ発電エンジニアリングがビルマでの
水力発電事業のコンサル業務をすることで軍政と
合意した（10月31日付新華社）。
・国連筋によれば、軍政はガンバリ国連事務総長特別
顧問をビルマに招待した。時期は今月末か来月初め。
国連は招待に応じるかどうかを検討している。国連事務
総長による訪問の可能性は低い（3日付イラワディ誌）。
【ビルマへの政府開発援助（ODA）約束状況など】
新たな発表はなし
【イベントなど】
・宇田有三写真展「アウンサンスーチーとビルマ」
（岐阜県 瑞浪芸術館、10月25日～11月24日）
・新拓生展「黙殺の視線 - Shan state of Burma -」
（ビルマ・シャン州の写真展）
（新宿ニコンサロン、11月4日～10日、10時～19時。
但し最終日は16時まで）
・国連大学セミナー「60年を迎えた世界人権宣言」
モーティン・ピーダーセン元国際危機グループミャンマー
現地事務所上級アナリスト講演
「普遍的人権の促進：ミャンマーのケースより」ほか
（国連大学、11日15時～）
・日本ビルマ救援センター 月例ビルマ問題学習会
「ビルマ語講座入門」
（大阪ボランティアセンター地下１階ボランティアルーム、14日19時～）
・第24回世界仏教徒会議日本大会
シンポジウムにビルマ僧侶アシン・ナヤカ師出席
（浅草ビューホテル、11月15日12時～）
・神戸松蔭女子学院大学 2008年秋季特別講座シリーズ
「ミャンマー（ビルマ）の現状」
講師：日本ビルマ救援センター代表 中尾恵子氏
（神戸松蔭女子学院大学、26日14時40分～）
・アジアと日本のつながりを考える国際セミナー
「100人の村 あなたもここに生きています」
ヒューライツ大阪ほか主催
秋元由紀がパネリストとして参加
（大阪市阿倍野区民ホール・小ホール、12月5日14時～）
・ビルマ市民フォーラム例会
「初めての方のための『ビルマ入門講座』
-ビデオ上映と講演-根本敬」
（文京シビックセンター、12月6日18時半～）
★いとうせいこう＋沢知恵＋ダブマスターＸ
「ミャンマー軍事政権に抗議するポエトリー・リーディング QUIET」
YouTubeで動画配信中
★ジェーン・バーキン最新アルバム『冬の子供たち』が
11月26日に発売予定。アウンサンスーチー氏に捧げる
楽曲「アウンサンスーチー」を収録。
☆インターネット放送局「アワープラネットTV」がビルマ
でのダム開発問題を取り上げた。
ビルマ情報ネットワークの秋元由紀が解説（映像、16分）。
http://www.ourplanet-tv.org/video/contact/2008/20081008_10.html
★特定非営利活動法人メコン・ウォッチの
季刊誌「フォーラムMekong」、最新号はビルマ特集。
－ビルマ～サイクロン後の人々、軍政－
http://www.mekongwatch.org/resource/forum/FM_vol9_2_01.html
【もっと詳しい情報は】
きょうのビルマのニュース（平日毎日更新）
http://d.hatena.ne.jp/burmainfo/
ビルマ情報ネットワーク
http://www.burmainfo.org/
【お問い合わせ】
ビルマ情報ネットワーク 秋元由紀
====================================
今週のビルマのニュース Eメール版
2008年11月7日号【0834号】
作成： ビルマ情報ネットワーク
協力： ビルマ市民フォーラム
====================================
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配布元: BurmaInfo（ビルマ情報ネットワーク）
http://www.burmainfo.org
連絡先: listmaster@burmainfo.org
バックナンバー: http://groups.yahoo.co.jp/group/burmainfo/
※BurmaInfoでは、ビルマ（ミャンマー）に関する最新ニュースやイベント情報、
参考資料を週に数本配信しています。
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第53回PFB例会のご案内：根本敬 初めての方のための 「ビルマ入門講座」（12月6日18時30分～）
【 転送・転載大歓迎】
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第53回ビルマ市民フォーラム例会のご案内 2008年12月6日（土）
-------------------------------------------------------
初めての方のための 「ビルマ入門講座」 -ビデオ上映と講演-
ビルマ民主化運動を振り返る 1988～2008 講師：根本 敬
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
ビルマの民主化運動はなぜ、どのようにして起きたのか？
軍政はいかなるやり方でそれを抑え込んだのか？
なぜ現在まで民主化運動は続いているのか？
軍政下20年目を迎えるビルマに関する背景知識を、1988年10月に
放映されたNHKスペシャルのビデオを一緒に見ながら、じっくり、
わかりやすくお話します。
冒頭、45分間ビデオをご覧頂いた後、1988年から昨年9月の武力弾圧、
今年5月のサイクロン被災状況なども含め、今日までのビルマ情勢を
わかりやすく解説いたします。
ビルマの現状に興味がありながら、なかなか基礎的な知識を学ぶ
機会に恵まれない方々を対象にした入門講座です。
初めての方大歓迎です。ご関心のある方はぜひおいでください。
また、後半では、在日ビルマ人難民申請者の状況につき、弁護士・渡辺彰悟が
今年の状況を簡単に報告いたします。
------------------------------------------------------
■日時：２００８年１２月６日（土） 午後６時３０分～午後８時４５分
■講演者： 根本 敬
（上智大学外国語学部教授、ビルマ市民フォーラム運営委員）
■会場：文京シビックセンター 4階 シルバーホール
住所 文京区春日1－16－21 電話 03(3812)7111
■アクセス
東京メトロ丸の内線・南北線後楽園駅徒歩1分
都営地下鉄三田線・大江戸線春日駅徒歩1分
JR総武線水道橋駅徒歩8分
▽会場の地図は、下記ＵＲＬをご覧ください。
http://www.city.bunkyo.lg.jp/sosiki_busyo_shisetsukanri_shisetsu_civic.html
■資料代＝ ２００円（PFB会員）・５００円（非会員）
■定 員＝ １００名 （どなたでもご参加できます。事前申込み不要／先着順）
------------------------------------------------------
【当日プログラム】
6:15～ 開場・受付開始
6:30～ 開始
6:35～7:20（45分）ビデオ上映
『NHK特集 ビルマ・戒厳令下の記録～ラングーン・カメラ日誌』
★1988年民主化運動をリアルタイムに追った作品です。
7:20～7:25（5分）休憩
7:25～8:25（60分）講演 根本 敬（上智大学外国語学部教授、PFB運営委員）
『ビルマ民主化運動を振り返る1988～2008』
8:25～8:40(15分) 報告 弁護士 渡辺 彰悟
（在日ビルマ人難民申請弁護団事務局長、PFB事務局長）
『今年の在日ビルマ人難民申請者の状況について』
-----------------------------------------------------
■問合せ先：ビルマ市民フォーラム事務局
電話０３－５３１２－４８１７
E-mail： pfb@xsj.biglobe.ne.jp
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
以上、
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
◇ ビルマ市民フォーラム事務局 ◇
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
〒160-0004 東京都新宿区四谷一丁目18番地6 四谷1丁目ウエストビル4階
いずみ橋法律事務所内
電話０３－５３１２－４８１７（直）／ FAX:０３―５３１２－４５４３
E-mail： pfb@xsj.biglobe.ne.jp
ホームページ： http://www1.jca.apc.org/pfb/
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
PFB-YouTube: Charity Concert for the victims of Nargis(Tokyo, Oct.17)
Dear Friends,
Please find following link to the Performance for the people in Burma
by Seiko Ito and Tomoe Sawa.
Popular Japanese writer, musician Mr.Seiko Ito and singer, pianist Ms.Tomoe Sawa performed a poetry reading at a Charity Concert for the victims of Cyclone Nargis, October 17, 2008, Tokyo.
They called on the Burmese military regime to save the victims, to stop killing unarmed monks, to release Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and to begin dialogue.
The proceeds from the Charity Concert will be donated to EMERGENCY ASSISTANCE TEAM - BURMA (EAT-Burma).
FREE BURMA WE ARE BUDDHIST,TOO Poetry Reading QUEIT
http://jp.youtube.com/watch?v=XQeStlWaeuI
Performed by Seiko Ito and Tomoe Sawa
*Charity Concert for the victims of Cyclone Nargis
- Solidarity with People in Burma !- Tokyo, Oct.17,2008
*Organizer: People's Forum on Burma(PFB)
*Supporters' organizations: Joint Action Committee of Burmese Community in Japan (JAC)
Burma Information Network
Amnesty International - Japan
In Solidarity
Sayaka
Secretariat of PFB
http://pfbkatsudo.blogspot.com/
*******************************
People's Forum on Burma(PFB)
********************************
c/o Izumibashi Law Office
Yotsuya 1chome West Bldg. 1-18-6,
Yotsuya, shinjuku-ku, Tokyo JAPAN
160-0004
TEL: +81-3-5312-4817 ?FAX: +81-3-5312-4543
URL:http://www1.jca.apc.org/pfb/
E-mail: pfb@izumibashi-law.net
**********************************
----------------------------------------------------
reference: ----------------------------------------------------
Tomoe Sawa: Official site
http://www.comoesta.co.jp/english/index.html
Seiko Ito:Official site
http://www.cubeinc.co.jp/ito/
A hip-hop poetry reading for Free Burma in Tokyo
(Burma Information Network, Tokyo, Japan, April 19, 2008)
http://www.burmainfo.org/solidarity/itoseiko_20080419_en.html
---------------------------------------------------
Burma Debate Continues Outside Brussels Conference Hall
By THE IRRAWADDY Thursday, November 6, 2008
Heated exchanges at last week's Burma Day conference in Brussels continue to reverberate, with two leading participants locked in a dispute over charges of undemocratic and “fascist” behavior.
The conference, co-hosted by the European Commission and a number of non-governmental organizations (NGOs), was marked by lively discussion among the participants.
“Several ‘activists’ made spirited and substantive interventions throughout the day,” said Derek Tonkin, a former British ambassador to Thailand, in a letter to The Irrawaddy. “Their approach is not democratic, but fascist.”
Tonkin’s charges were challenged by Mark Farmaner, director of the London-based Burma Campaign-UK, who complained that he had been interrupted twice by one of the conference organizers when he spoke from the floor and that he had later been told he had no right to address the meeting. “Yet I get called a fascist,” said Farmaner in an e-mail reply to questions from The Irrawaddy.
Farmaner claimed that the “vast majority” of the participants in the conference were “promoting a basic agenda of engaging in the regime’s 2010 elections, playing down or even denying that the regime had been restricting aid to the [Irrawaddy] delta, and criticizing sanctions.
"Perhaps their anger is because even with the biased line-up their arguments didn’t carry the day."
Tonkin, now Chairman of Network Myanmar, said in the letter that the “incidence of intervention” by activist participants, “if anything, was tilted in their favor by the independent and unbiased chairmen of both the morning and afternoon sessions."
The Burma Campaign-UK charged in a press release that the European Commission had chosen conference speakers who largely opposed the policies of Burma’s democracy movement, even though the agenda focused on humanitarian and political issues in Burma. "EU Burma Day is always heavily biased in this way," the group said.
By THE IRRAWADDY Thursday, November 6, 2008
Heated exchanges at last week's Burma Day conference in Brussels continue to reverberate, with two leading participants locked in a dispute over charges of undemocratic and “fascist” behavior.
The conference, co-hosted by the European Commission and a number of non-governmental organizations (NGOs), was marked by lively discussion among the participants.
“Several ‘activists’ made spirited and substantive interventions throughout the day,” said Derek Tonkin, a former British ambassador to Thailand, in a letter to The Irrawaddy. “Their approach is not democratic, but fascist.”
Tonkin’s charges were challenged by Mark Farmaner, director of the London-based Burma Campaign-UK, who complained that he had been interrupted twice by one of the conference organizers when he spoke from the floor and that he had later been told he had no right to address the meeting. “Yet I get called a fascist,” said Farmaner in an e-mail reply to questions from The Irrawaddy.
Farmaner claimed that the “vast majority” of the participants in the conference were “promoting a basic agenda of engaging in the regime’s 2010 elections, playing down or even denying that the regime had been restricting aid to the
[Irrawaddy] delta, and criticizing sanctions.
"Perhaps their anger is because even with the biased line-up their arguments didn’t carry the day."
Tonkin, now Chairman of Network Myanmar, said in the letter that the “incidence of intervention” by activist participants, “if anything, was tilted in their favor by the independent and unbiased chairmen of both the morning and afternoon sessions."
The Burma Campaign-UK charged in a press release that the European Commission had chosen conference speakers who largely opposed the policies of Burma’s democracy movement, even though the agenda focused on humanitarian and political issues in Burma. "EU Burma Day is always heavily biased in this way," the group said.
One Burmese participant, who requested anonymity, told The Irrawaddy: “That’s not true. I think the conference organizers this time tried to give time fairly to everyone to talk in open discussion. We mainly focused on the impact of Cyclone Nargis and on options for the country's political future."
A Burma Day conference in 2005 also sparked controversy. The organizers were accused by NGOs, trade union umbrella groups and others of inviting only Burmese regime sympathizers and excluding regime opponents. About 50 Burmese exiles traveled to Brussels to join pro-democracy groups in a protest demonstration outside the conference venue, complaining that the meeting was heavily lopsided in favor of those calling for an easing of EU sanctions against Burma.
This year, the organizers invited representatives of NGOs, advocacy groups, international organizations and think tanks from Burma and Europe to discuss the current Burma situation and the country’s future outlook, under the conference theme of “Burma/Myanmar—Prospects for the Future.”
Among the participants were Dan Baker, UN Humanitarian Coordinator in Burma; Piero Fassino, EU special envoy for Burma; Jack Dunford, executive director of the Thailand Burma Border Consortium, and Charm Tong, a leading Burmese activist from the Shan Women Action Network.
လြတ္လပ္မႈ-(၃)-ဆရာေတာ္ဦးေဇာတိက
မလုပ္သင့္တာကို လုပ္ေနတဲ့သူမွာ လြတ္လပ္မႈလည္း မရိွဘူး၊ ဂုဏ္သိကၡာလည္း မရိွဘူး။
သူတစ္ပါး မတရား အနိုင္က်င့္တာကို ခံေနရျပီးေတာ့ ဘာမွ ျပန္ေျပာခြင့္ မရတဲ့သူ၊ ျပန္မေျပာရဲတဲ့သူဟာ
ဂုဏ္သိကၡာ မရိွတဲ့သူ၊ လြတ္လပ္မႈ မရိွတဲ့သူ။
လြတ္လပ္မႈကို ဘယ္လို က်င့္သုံးသလဲ ဆိုတာေပၚ မူတည္ျပီး လြတ္လပ္မႈ ဆက္လက္ရွင္သန္မယ္၊ မရွင္သန္ဘူး၊
တည္ျမဲမယ္၊ မတည္ျမဲဘူး ဆိုတာကို ေနာက္ဆုံး အဆုံးအျဖတ္ေပးပါတယ္။
လြတ္လပ္မႈကို အလဲြသုံးစားလုပ္ရင္ လြတ္လပ္မႈ ေပ်ာက္သြားမယ္။
ရိွေနတဲ့ လြတ္လပ္မႈကို အလဲြသုံးစား လုပ္ေနတဲ့သူဟာ ပိုျပီး အဆင့္ျမင့္တဲ့ လြတ္လပ္မႈကို ဘယ္နည္းနဲ ့မွ မရနုိင္ဘူး။
ရထားတဲ့ လြတ္လပ္မႈကို စည္းကမ္းရိွရိွသုံးနိုင္တဲ့ သူမွသာ ပိုျပီး အဆင့္ျမင့္တဲ့ လြတ္လပ္မႈကို ရလာမယ္။ ကိုယ္နဲ ့တန္ရင္
ရမယ္။ ရထားတဲ့ လြတ္လပ္မႈကို မသုံးပဲေနတဲ့သူဟာလည္း ပိုျပီးအဆင့္ျမင့္တဲ့ လြတ္လပ္မႈကို မရနို္င္ဘူး။ ရတဲ့လြတ္လပ္မႈကို
အျပည့္အဝ သုံးေနတဲ့သူပဲ ပိုျပီး လြတ္လပ္လာမယ္။
လြတ္လပ္မႈကို က်င့္သုံးေနတဲ့သူမွာပဲ လြတ္လပ္မႈရိွတယ္။ ေနာက္တစ္မ်ိဳး ေျပာရရင္ လြတ္လပ္မႈကို က်င့္သုံးေနတုံးမွာပဲ
လြတ္လပ္မႈ ရိွတယ္။
ငါဟာ လြတ္လပ္တဲ့သူလို ့ ေျပာနိုင္မွ လူျဖစ္ရတာ တန္တဲ့သူျဖစ္မယ္။ ငါဟာ လြတ္လပ္တဲ့သူလို ့ ေျပာနုိင္မွ ကိုယ့္ကိုယ္ကိုကိုယ္
တကယ္ ေလးစားနိုင္မယ္၊ အားရနိုင္မယ္၊ ေက်နပ္နိုင္မယ္။
လြတ္လပ္ေနတာကို ခံစားရတာ အေကာင္းဆုံးကို ခံစားရတာပဲ။ လြတ္လပ္မႈဟာ ခ်မ္းသာအစစ္ပဲ။ လြတ္လပ္မႈကို လိုခ်င္တာဟာ
အဆင့္အျမင့္ဆုံးကို လိုခ်င္တာပဲ။
ဘယ္လိုအေျခအေနမွာျဖစ္ျဖစ္ ကိုယ့္သေဘာထားကို မွန္ေအာင္ ထားနုိင္တဲ့သူဟာ လြတ္လပ္တဲ့သူျဖစ္တယ္။
ထာဝရ နိုးႀကားမႈဟာ လြတ္လပ္မႈအတြက္ေပးရတဲ့ အဖိုးအခပဲ။
Patterning your life around other's opinions is nothing more than slavery.
ကိုယ့္ဘဝကို သူမ်ားအယူအဆအတိုင္း ပုံသြင္းတာဟာ က်ြန္ခံလိုက္တာထက္ ပိုမထူးပါဘူး။
ကိုယ့္ဘဝကို သူမ်ား အယူအဆအတိုင္း ေနရတဲ့သူဟာ လြတ္လပ္တဲ့သူ ဟုတ္ရဲ့လား။ အဲ့ဒီလိုလူဟာ လြတ္လပ္တဲ့သူ
ဆိုရင္ သူ ့လြတ္လပ္မႈဟာ ဘယ္လိုလြတ္လပ္မႈမ်ိဳးလဲ။ ကိုယ့္ဥာဏ္ကိုကိုယ္ မသုံးနုိင္တဲ့သူ၊ မယုံနိုင္တဲ့သူမွာ
လြတ္လပ္မႈ ရိွသလား။
လြတ္လပ္မႈ-(၂)-ဆရာေတာ္ဦးေဇာတိက
ေပးမွရတဲ့ လြတ္လပ္မႈဟာ လြတ္လပ္မႈအစစ္မဟုတ္ဘူး။ ဘယ္သူကမွ လြတ္လပ္မႈကို ေပးလို ့မရဘူး။
မိမိဘာသာျဖစ္ေအာင္ လုပ္ယူမွ ရတယ္။
ဘယ္သူ ့ဆီကမွ ခြင့္ေတာင္းစရာမလိုတဲ့ လြတ္လပ္မႈကို အျပည့္အဝယူပါ။
ဒီအခြင့္အေရးကို ယူနိုင္သူဟာ က်န္တဲ့ အခြင့္အေရးေတြကိုပါ ရလာမယ္။
လြတ္လပ္မႈကို အလဲြသုံးစားလုပ္တဲ့သူဟာ လြတ္လပ္မႈနဲ ့ မတန္ဘူး။
လြတ္လပ္မႈနဲ ့ တစ္ဦးကိုတစ္ဦး အျပန္အလွန္ေလးစားမႈဟာ လက္တဲြျပီးေတာ့ သြားတယ္။
အေျခခံေကာင္းတဲ့ ပညာေရးနဲ ့ လြတ္လြတ္လပ္လပ္ လုပ္ခြင့္ ဒီနွစ္ခုရိွရင္ တိုးတက္မယ္။
လြတ္လပ္တဲ့အေျခအေနအေနမွာသာ လူတစ္ေယာက္ရဲ့ အေကာင္းဆုံး အရည္အေသြးဟာ
ရွင္သန္ ႀကီးထြားနိုင္တယ္။
လြတ္လပ္မႈဟာ အႏၱရာယ္မ်ားပါတယ္။ ဒါေပမဲ့ လြတ္လပ္မႈ မရိွတာက ပိုျပီး အႏၱရာယ္ မ်ားပါတယ္။
လြတ္လပ္တဲ့သူရဲ့ ဘာသာတရားမွာ ဆုေပးတာ မရိွဘူး။ ဒဏ္ေပးတာ မရိွဘူး။ ဥာဏ္ကို ျပည့္ျပည့္ဝဝ သုံးျပီး
အျမင့္ဆုံး အျမတ္ဆုံးကို လုပ္တာပဲ ရိွတယ္။
ပညာရိွတဲ့သူ၊ စိတ္ထားအဆင့္အတန္း ျမင့္တဲ့သူတိုင္းဟာ လြတ္လပ္မႈကို ျမတ္နိုးတယ္။
ဥာဏ္နုတုန္းမွာ ေကာင္းေကာင္းစားရဖို ့ ေကာင္းေကာင္းေနရဖို ့ မွန္းတယ္။ ဥာဏ္ နည္းနည္း ျမင့္လာရင္
ပညာတတ္ဖို ့ မွန္းတယ္။ အသိဥာဏ္ အျမင့္ဆုံးကို ေရာက္ရင္ လြတ္လပ္မႈကို မွန္းတယ္။ စိတ္ထားနဲ ့အသိဥာဏ္
ျမင့္သြားေလေလ လြတ္လပ္မႈကို ျမတ္နိုး ေလေလပဲ။
လြတ္လပ္တဲ့စိတ္နဲ ့ ျဖစ္ေနတာေတြကို အမွန္အတိုင္း မျမင္နိုင္တဲ့သူဟာ ပညာတတ္ မျဖစ္နိုင္ဘူး။
တစ္ကိုယ္ေကာင္းဆန္တဲ့သူဟာ လြတ္လပ္မႈ မရိွတဲ့သူ လြတ္လပ္မႈနဲ ့ မတန္တဲ့သူ ျဖစ္တယ္။
လူ ့ဂုဏ္သိကၡာရိွမွ လြတ္လပ္မႈ ရိွတယ္။ လြတ္လပ္မႈရိွမွ လူ ့ဂုဏ္သိကၡာ ရိွတယ္။ လူ ့ဂုဏ္သိကၡာနဲ ့ လြတ္လပ္မႈဟာ
ဆက္စပ္မႈရိွတယ္။
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